Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.333302 3.899058 4.501237 5.186773 5.942435 6.746934 7.665105
2024-10-20 2.521113 3.298042 4.186857 5.265440 6.525410 7.937770 9.627401
2024-10-27 1.880509 2.749487 3.815050 5.185508 6.869034 8.838672 11.285367
2024-11-03 1.508416 2.444583 3.666190 5.317143 7.430333 9.987485 13.256801
2024-11-10 1.214038 2.177979 3.512980 5.400851 7.906523 11.027496 15.114885
2024-11-17 0.930624 1.866214 3.246431 5.290141 8.100830 11.699598 16.519909
2024-11-24 0.705716 1.592432 2.987878 5.149237 8.223366 12.260741 17.779496
2024-12-01 0.553697 1.402306 2.821801 5.111699 8.466038 12.968329 19.228646
2024-12-08 0.427930 1.226848 2.650348 5.041360 8.644762 13.581761 20.556446
2024-12-15 0.375189 1.180173 2.681530 5.275416 9.260962 14.797183 22.700989
2024-12-22 0.303521 1.074270 2.594945 5.311944 9.581945 15.607786 24.313895
2024-12-29 0.274700 1.057834 2.664352 5.600282 10.283540 16.960902 26.682839
2025-01-05 0.238774 1.017158 2.687949 5.820446 10.900812 18.226940 28.983563
2025-01-12 0.195797 0.944593 2.640905 5.916561 11.329886 19.235820 30.952613
2025-01-19 0.146264 0.832911 2.498971 5.834999 11.473949 19.834051 32.360275
2025-01-26 0.121630 0.787556 2.487457 5.980515 11.978867 20.964515 34.529201
2025-02-02 0.098014 0.734098 2.449759 6.072658 12.396503 21.970874 36.534693
2025-02-09 0.068917 0.640436 2.305414 5.953024 12.459018 22.446566 37.789127
2025-02-16 0.045790 0.550574 2.152081 5.800187 12.454174 22.814249 38.888034
2025-02-23 0.031831 0.490691 2.061146 5.759512 12.632080 23.457528 40.389942
2025-03-02 0.020694 0.430899 1.957757 5.683083 12.741556 23.993597 41.739396
2025-03-09 0.017889 0.428435 2.013111 5.937557 13.433413 25.441519 44.443761
2025-03-16 0.012398 0.393508 1.968538 5.977258 13.746591 26.303219 46.293912